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Falcon's 10-Stock Portfolio

 

This is an actual snapshot of our 10-Stock Portfolio after the April 16, 2007 update for our readers.

 

The current portfolio is shown in the first box below, and previous transactions as well as explanations for the changes are listed below that. News, commentary and current market conditions are also shown.

 

During this update, all stocks were higher, and Jones Soda (JSDA) was up over 130%.

 

Additional news and other information is posted to our live portfolio for all readers.

 

 

 

New issues posted on the 1st and 15th of every month, before the market opens.

If the 1st or 15th fall on a weekend or holiday, updates are posted the next trading day.

Next Update: Tuesday, May 1st

 

   

  Current Market Conditions (All Times EST)

  

 

***New Portfolio Holdings as of April 16, 2007***

See below for latest transactions & prices.

     

Click on the stock name or symbol for a current quote (new window).

 Stocks (Listed In Order of Purchase)

Symbol

Number of Shares Purchased

Buy Price (Close)

Buy Date

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Everlast Worldwide

Twin Disc Inc

Triumph Group

Jones Soda, Inc. 

Allegheny Technologies Inc

International Shipping  

Brocade Communications

Global Industries Ltd

Trina Solar Ltd

Emdeon Corporation (NEW)

EVST

TWIN

TGI

JSDA

ATI

ISH

BRCD

GLBL

TSL

HLTH

95

48

33

147

19

75

103

60

22

--

15.20

32.02

45.31

12.07

102.36

17.10

9.77

16.80

44.75

--

07/17/06

09/15/06

10/16/06

01/03/07

02/15/07

03/01/07

03/15/07

03/15/07

04/02/07

04/16/07

Portfolio Value As Of Close On Friday, April 13, 2007: $20,194.40

Up $514.26 (2.61%) for the day.

(Value Includes $34.77 in cash.)

JSDA up 133%+

 

Current Quotes (15 Min Delay) Change shown is today's change.

Recent Portfolio Stock News -- Click On Headline To Read Article

Latest News On Top

Sector Snap: Chinese Stocks Mixed (TSL)

Jones Soda Still Has Fizz (JSDA)

Titanium Metals Producers Line Up Expansions to Meet Growing Demand (ATI)

FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INC Files SEC form 10-Q (FDS)

Paradise, Slightly Dry (TGI)

Brocade Joins The Green Grid (BRCD)

Jones Soda Shares Soar on Launch, Hire (JSDA)

Shrink! The Latest Buyback Announcements (FDS)

CECO Environmental posts Q4 profit (CECE)

Sector Wrap: Titanium (ATI)

Brocade 48000 Directors Drive Significant Consolidation and Cost Savings at Swiss Re (BRCD)

Brocade Grows SAN Leadership In 2006 (BRCD)

FactSet Research raises dividend, expands share buyback program (FDS)

FactSet second-quarter profit $26.5 mln vs $19.2 mln (FDS)

InPlay: FactSet beats by a penny; guides Q3 revs above consensus (FDS)

Jones Soda Shares Hit New Yearly High (JSDA)

Stockpickr: Who's Next on Cisco's Buy List?  (BRCD)

Allegheny Technologies Makes the BW50 list of Best Performing Companies (ATI)

Jones Soda 4Q Profit Triples (JSDA)

Wal-Mart to Sell Jones Soda Cans (JSDA)

  

 

Sales proceeds and purchase prices will be calculated using

 closing prices on the day of the announcement. We wait until the close

as these are prices that could have been had by our readers.

We believe this to be the most fair method of calculating returns,

even though it will usually lower our average slightly.

 

 

***Transactions***

April 16, 2007

 Stock

Symbol

Buy Price

Buy Date

4/13/07 Price

Gain / Loss

Since Purchase

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

FactSet Research Syst (SELL)

Everlast Worldwide

Twin Disc Inc

Triumph Group

Jones Soda, Inc. 

Allegheny Technologies Inc

International Shipping  

Brocade Communications

Global Industries Ltd

Trina Solar Ltd

FDS

EVST

TWIN

TGI

JSDA

ATI

ISH

BRCD

GLBL

TSL

45.81

15.20

32.02

45.31

12.07

102.36

17.10

9.77

16.80

44.75

06/01/06

07/17/06

09/15/06

10/16/06

01/03/07

02/15/07

03/01/07

03/15/07

03/15/07

04/02/07

60.69

17.84

45.68

57.00

28.22

113.76

19.81

10.12

20.53

58.50

+32.48%

+17.37%

+42.66%

+25.80%

+133.80%

+11.14%

+15.85%

+3.58%

+22.20%

+30.73%

Selling:

FactSet Research Systems (FDS)

 

Taking all proceeds and purchasing the following:

Emdeon Corporation (HLTH)

   

REMOVING:

 

FDS

Sales proceeds will be calculated using the closing prices on Monday, April 16, 2007.

 

FDS has had a nice run, although it took much longer than anticipated. Several technical indicators were broken and we will get rid of FDS here.

 

Some valuation concerns have finally arisen as growth has slowed and we feel we'll see some downgrades at these levels. We'll move on and take our 30+% gains.

This is a live 5-day chart.

FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS)

   

ADDING:

   

HLTH

The number of shares to be purchased will be calculated using the closing prices on Monday, April 16, 2007.

Emdeon Corporation provides health information services in the United States. It operates in four segments: WebMD, ViPS, Porex, and Emdeon Business Service.

 

HLTH is gaining momentum. Although it's up quite a bit recently, we feel that HLTH has a ways to go.

 

Earnings will be announced on May 3rd and we'll be waiting for the news as well.

 

HLTH has shown positive signs in leveraging its position in the industry and its varied business model can help stave off shortcomings in specific areas.

 

We may not hold HLTH for very long (like FDS), but we feel that 20-30% in gains is an easy target in the next few months.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Emdeon Corp. (HLTH)

 

 

 

 

***Transactions***

April 2, 2007

 Stock

Symbol

Buy Price

Buy Date

3/30/07 Price

Gain / Loss

Since Purchase

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

FactSet Research Systems

Everlast Worldwide

Twin Disc Inc

Triumph Group

Jones Soda, Inc. 

Allegheny Technologies Inc

International Shipping  

CECO Environmental   (SELL)

Brocade Communications

Global Industries Ltd

FDS

EVST

TWIN

TGI

JSDA

ATI

ISH

CECE

BRCD

GLBL

45.81

15.20

32.02

45.31

12.07

102.36

17.10

15.73

9.77

16.80

06/01/06

07/17/06

09/15/06

10/16/06

01/03/07

02/15/07

03/01/07

03/01/07

03/15/07

03/15/07

62.13

18.73

43.00

56.58

22.35

108.87

18.53

12.32

9.71

19.47

+35.63%

+23.22%

+34.29%

+24.87%

+85.17%

+6.36%

+8.36%

-21.68%

-0.61%

+15.89%

Selling:

CECO Environmental (CECE)

 

Taking all proceeds and purchasing the following:

Trina Solar Ltd (TSL)

   

REMOVING:

 

CECE

CECE closed at $12.32. The portfolio had 82 shares. Total proceeds totaled $1,010.24.

 

CECE broke through several technical barriers this week.

 

Sure, we listened to the conference call for the latest quarterly earnings.... and we were positive. However, the results did not show the growth that was "expected", so the stock tanked. Our number ONE rule is... the 'market' is always right, even when it's wrong.

 

We feel that a bounce is on its way, so holders may wish to wait and catch a rebound before deciding to sell. Actually, we do not want to sell CECE here, but our rules say we must.

 

Readers may want to hang on for a while to catch the imminent gains and make back any losses before selling and moving on. As you can see from Friday's action, momentum is higher... waiting for gains would be a wise move.

This is a live 5-day chart.

CECO Environmental Corp. (CECE)

   

ADDING:

   

TSL

TSL closed at $44.75 on Monday, April 2. The portfolio will add 22 shares.

Trina Solar Ltd. is a Chinese manufacturer of solar photovoltaic modules and recently had its IPO. TSL doesn't make anything special, but it makes "alternative-energy" products at a low cost.

 

The stock has moved much higher from its recent IPO. We feel (much like Jones Soda - JDSA) that momentum has carried the stock this far, and will do so in the future as well. This is a "buzz" stock, one that can do no wrong.

 

Be careful here... while we expect to see TSL pause here for a short while, and continue a move higher, more risk-adverse investors may wish to avoid TSL for the moment.

 

We like the stock, and its potential, but like JSDA, it can be risky... risk that pays off in the long run.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Trina Solar Ltd. (TSL)

   
   

 

 

 

***Transactions***

March 15, 2007

 Stock

Symbol

Buy Price

Buy Date

3/15/07 Price

Gain / Loss

Since Purchase

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

FactSet Research Systems

Everlast Worldwide

Twin Disc Inc

Triumph Group

Input/Output, Inc. (SELL)

Jones Soda, Inc. 

Allegheny Technologies Inc

Saba Software   (SELL)

International Shipping

CECO Environmental  

FDS

EVST

TWIN

TGI

IO

JSDA

ATI

SABA

ISH

CECE

45.81

15.20

32.02

45.31

13.38

12.07

102.36

7.22

17.10

15.73

06/01/06

07/17/06

09/15/06

10/16/06

12/15/06

01/03/07

02/15/07

03/01/07

03/01/07

03/01/07

66.74

17.75

40.95

54.43

12.16

18.81

103.04

5.98

18.48

16.67

+45.69%

+16.78%

+27.89%

+20.13%

-9.11%

+55.84%

+0.66%

-17.17%

+8.07%

+5.98%

Selling:

Input/Output, Inc. (IO)

Saba Software (SABA)

 

Taking all proceeds and purchasing the following:

Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD)

Global Industries, Ltd. (GLBL)

 

REMOVING:

 

IO

The Portfolio had 77 shares. IO closed at $12.16 for total proceeds of $936.32.

When IO announced its quarterly results, its profits fell, and so did the stock. This turn of events caught most (including us) by surprise.

 

The stock has broken some technical lines and we feel that IO will languish here, at least until the next quarterly announcement. We don't care to wait that long.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Input/Output Inc. (IO)

   

SABA

The Portfolio had 180 shares. SABA closed at $5.98 for total proceeds of $1,076.40.

SABA surprised a lot of investors the other day when it  announced it was going to show a loss for Q3. A loss was not expected. Even though the loss was manageable, the fact that SABA broke to a loss has a profound psychological impact on investors. Consequently, SABA broke through several technical barriers we were watching and may not be done dropping.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Saba Software Inc. (SABA)

   

ADDING:

   

BRCD

Brocade closed at $9.77 on March 15. We will be adding 103 shares.

Brocade is just positively cheap. It's technicals have advanced as well, setting us up to recommend this one. BRCD offers design, development, marketing, sale, and support of data storage networking and data management solutions.

 

BRCD's margins are improving, revenues are increasing at a great clip as well as net income. Combine that with the technical aspects and BRCD is a nice buy here.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Brocade Communications Systems Inc. (BRCD)

   

GLBL

Global closed at $16.80 on March 15. We will be adding 60 shares.

Global Industries has been tearing up the entire industry lately. We like the management and actually worked with them for a while, although not all of them are still there from when we worked on the trading floor, helping these guys sell their restricted stock and stock options. GLBL provides construction services to the offshore oil industry, primarily in the Gulf of Mexico.

 

GLBL has beaten estimates for the last FOUR quarters by an average of 60%. However, it's P/E ratio is still under 10 at these levels. That's way too cheap to pass up. We feel that GLBL should be trading near a 20 P/E ratio... at least. The industry average is 23.

This is a live 5-day chart.

Global Industries Ltd. (GLBL)

 

 

 

***Transactions***

March 1, 2007

 Stock

Symbol

Buy Price

Buy Date

2/28/07 Price

Gain / Loss

Since Purchase

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Safety Insurance Group  (SELL)

FactSet Research Systems

Everlast Worldwide

Twin Disc Inc

Best Buy Stores (SELL)

Triumph Group

Input/Output, Inc.

Jones Soda, Inc. 

First Marblehead Corp (SELL)

Allegheny Technologies Inc

SAFT

FDS

EVST

TWIN

BBY

TGI

IO

JSDA

FMD

ATI

50.08

45.81

15.20

32.02

53.83

45.31

13.38

12.07

55.17

102.36

05/15/06

06/01/06

07/17/06

09/15/06

09/15/06

10/16/06

12/15/06

01/03/07

01/16/07

2/15/07

42.47

60.86

18.90

43.344

46.48

53.49

13.52

12.31

45.14

102.32