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Falcon's Market-Timed Portfolio

 

This is an actual snapshot of the Market-Timed Portfolio until we changed the stocks on July 23, 2007 when the market turned downwards and we replaced these stocks held long to a group of 10 stock that were shorted for the portfolio.

 

This portfolio is timed to the market. When the market is "Green", the portfolio holds ten excellent stocks in rising sectors for maximum gains. When the market turns "Red", those 10 stocks are sold/removed and 10 new stocks are shorted. These are weak stocks in weak sectors that should maximize our gains.

 

The portfolio changes with the market, but on average holds the 10 stocks for about 3-4 months. You can even have us email you when the portfolio changes!


Additional news and market information is available to our readers as this is only a representation of what we do here. Additional news and information are added all of the time, including the availability for readers to request an email alert when the portfolio changes. New charts and other tools are also being added.

 

 

 

This page will be redesigned to be an easier read soon, along with more information!

When the portfolio changes again, we will include commentary for each stock picked.

 

Current Market:

We do not recommend shorting the stocks below as the market conditions have deteriorated

to "yellow". We feel that a turnaround is likely and investors should hang on until we see a

"red" signal and we change the portfolio to a 'short' position with 10 new stocks!

 

 

  Current Market Conditions (All Times EST)

  

 

***New Portfolio Holdings as of April 5, 2007***

***Long Positions***

See below for latest transactions & prices.

     

Current Portfolio Is:  LONG!

 

Click on the stock name or symbol for a current quote (new window).

Prices are as of the close of business on the day of the portfolio change.

 Stock Purchased

Symbol

Buy Price

Shares

Sell Price

Gain / Loss

From Purchase Until Sale on 07/23/07

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Allegheny Tech

Cummins Inc

ConocoPhillips

Guess

Goodyear Tire

M&F Worldwide

Southern Copper

Rio Tinto (ADR)

Spartan Materials

Trina Solar

ATI

CMI

COP

GES

GT

MFW

PCU

RTP

SPAR

TSL

110.86

73.85

67.96

41.40

32.91

60.65

74.86

239.21

17.00

47.34

14

21

23

38

48

26

21

6

94

33

113.73

114.69

85.63

50.06

34.49

63.68

115.01

316.06

15.47

62.89

+2.59%

+55.30%

+26.00%

+20.92%

+4.80%

+5.00%

+53.63%

+32.13%

-9.00%

+32.85%

Beginning Balance of This Portfolio: $16,000.63 (04/05/07)

Gains for this period (04/05/07 through 07/23/07): $3,461.51

Ending Portfolio Value on 7/23/07: $19,462.14

 

Average Percentage Gain Per Stock For This Period: 22.42%

Total Percentage Gain Since Inception: 94.62%

Average Annualized Gain To-Date: 95%+

 

 

Current Quotes (15 Min Delay) Change shown is today's change.

  

 

Below, you will find each and every portfolio since inception on August 1, 2006.

When the market turns up and we announce an update, the portfolio will cover any shorts and purchase 10 stocks.

When the market turns down and we announce an update, the portfolio will sell and holdings and sell short 10 stocks.

 

 

 

***Portfolio Holdings as of April 5, 2007***

***Long Positions***

See below for latest transactions & prices.

     

This Current Portfolio Is:  LONG!

 Stock Purchased

Symbol

Buy Price

Shares

Sell Price

Gain / Loss

From Purchase Until Sale on 07/23/07

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Allegheny Tech

Cummins Inc

ConocoPhillips

Guess

Goodyear Tire

M&F Worldwide

Southern Copper

Rio Tinto (ADR)

Spartan Materials

Trina Solar

ATI

CMI

COP

GES

GT

MFW

PCU

RTP

SPAR

TSL

110.86

73.85

67.96

41.40

32.91

60.65

74.86

239.21

17.00

47.34

14

21

23

38

48

26

21

6

94

33

113.73

114.69

85.63

50.06

34.49

63.68

115.01

316.06

15.47

62.89

+2.59%

+55.30%

+26.00%

+20.92%

+4.80%

+5.00%

+53.63%

+32.13%

-9.00%

+32.85%

 

 

 

Prior Portfolio (Below) Was Shorted On 03/01/07 - Ending Values Listed

 Stocks Short

Symbol

Shorted Price

Bought (Covered) Price

Shares

Gain / Loss

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Coly Pharma

E-Future Info

GeoClobal Resources

Guidance Software

Idenix Pharma

International Fight

Isotis Inc

Orleans Homebuilders

Shilo Industries

SkyTerra

COLY

EFUT

GGR

GUID

IDIX

IFLI

ISOT

OHB

SHLO

SKYT

8.77

25.37

6.16

12.85

8.52

8.95

9.00

14.42

10.69

9.30

9.62

22.15

5.95

12.50

8.08

6.00

5.85

8.76

9.15

7.70

158

54

225

108

163

155

154

96

130

150

-9.69%

+12.69%

+3.41%

+2.72%

+5.16%

+32.96%

+35.00%

+39.25%

+14.41%

+17.20%

***Note: When shorting stocks, we list downturns as gains.

 

Prior Balance of Market-Timed Portfolio: $13,878.37 (03/01/07)

Gains for this period (03/01/07 through 04/05/07): $2,122.16

Total Value of Portfolio on Purchase Date (04/05/07): $16,000.63

Average Percentage Gain Per Stock: 15.31%

 

 

 

 

***Portfolio Holdings as of March 1, 2007***

***Short Positions***

See below for latest transactions & prices.

     

This Current Portfolio Is:  SHORT!

The Portfolio Will Short These Stocks Using The Closing Prices On March 1, 2007

 Stocks (Listed Alphabetically)

Symbol

Exchange

Number of Shares Shorted

Short Price (Close on 03/01/07)

Short Proceeds

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Coly Pharma

E-Future Info

GeoClobal Resources

Guidance Software

Idenix Pharma

International Fight

Isotis Inc

Orleans Homebuilders

Shilo Industries

SkyTerra

COLY

EFUT

GGR

GUID

IDIX

IFLI

ISOT

OHB

SHLO

SKYT

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NYSE

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NYSE

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

158

54

225

108

163

155

154

96

130

150

8.77

25.37

6.16

12.85

8.52

8.95

9.00

14.42

10.69

9.30

1,385.66

1,396.98

1,386.00

1,387.80

1,388.76

1,387.25

1,386.00

1,384.32

1,389.70

1,395.00

 

Total Value of Shorted Stocks This Period: $13,860.47

Cash Amount Left Over: $17.90

Maximum Short Per Share: $1,386.05

 

 

Prior Portfolio (Below) Was Purchased On 08/01/06 - Ending Values Listed

 Stocks Short

Symbol

Purchase Price

Sold Price (Close on 3/1/07)

Shares Total Proceeds

Gain / Loss

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Amerisafe

CECO Environmental

Everlast Worldwide

Gulfport Energy

ICO Inc

M&F Worldwide

NorthStar

Omega Healthcare

Union Drilling

Volkswagen

AMSF

CECE

EVST

GPOR

ICOC

MFW

NRF

OHI

UDRL

VLKAY

12.32

8.98

14.06

12.78

4.83

17.49

12.02

13.32

15.18

14.90

17.56

15.73

18.30

12.32

5.78

37.68

14.79

18.05

12.31

25.30

81

111

71

78

207

57

83

75

66

67

1,422.36

1,746.03

1,299.30

960.96

1,196.46

2,147.76

1,227.57

1,353.75

812.46

1,695.10

+42.53%

+75.17%

+30.16%

-3.60%

+19.67%

+115.44%

+23.04%

+35.51%

-18.91%

+69.80%

 

Sales Proceeds of Portfolio Stocks on 03/01/07: $13,861.75

Cash Balance: $16.62

Total Portfolio Value on 03/01/07: $13,878.37

Gains for this period (08/01/06 through 03/01/07): $3,878.37

Average Percentage Gain Per Stock: 38.88%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

***Beginning (Inception) Portfolio***

August 1, 2006

 

The inception portfolio begins with $10,000 to invest. $1,000 per share and will purchase the maximum

number of shares available using closing prices on 08/01/06 to total up to $1,000 per share (give or take).

 

 

This Current Portfolio Is:  LONG!

 Stocks (Listed Alphabetically)

Symbol

Exchange

Number of Shares Purchased

Purchase Price (Close on 08/01/06)

Total Investment Per Share

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

Amerisafe

CECO Environmental

Everlast Worldwide

Gulfport Energy

ICO Inc

M&F Worldwide

NorthStar

Omega Healthcare

Union Drilling

Volkswagen

AMSF

CECE

EVST

GPOR

ICOC

MFW

NRF

OHI

UDRL

VLKAY

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NASDAQ

NYSE

NYSE

NYSE

NASDAQ

OTC

81

111

71

78

207

57

83

75

66

67

12.32

8.98

14.06

12.78

4.83

17.49

12.02

13.32

15.18

14.90

$997.92

$996.78

$998.26

$996.84

$999.81

$996.93

$997.66

$999.00

$1,001.88

$998.90

Balance of Market-Timed Portfolio - Total Purchases: $9,983.38

Cash Left Over: $16.62

 

 

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