THURSDAY – Stocks jumped in early trading Thursday after President Donald Trump said China and the U.S. were zeroing in on a trade deal, lifting hope that an agreement will be reached before a key deadline.
The S&P 500 hit a record high, rising 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 250 points higher, or 0.9%. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.8%.
Trump said in a tweet both sides were getting “VERY close to a BIG DEAL with China. They want it, and so do we!”
His tweet comes after Reuters reported that Trump was meeting with his top trade officials on Thursday ahead of a Sunday trade deadline. If an agreement is not reached by then, additional U.S. levies on Chinese products will take effect.
Stocks started December on the wrong foot as worries around U.S.-China trade relations increased. In the first two sessions of the month, the Dow lost more than 500 points.
Still, the major averages are up sharply for the year. The S&P 500 and Dow have jumped 25.3% and 19.7%, respectively, year to date. The Nasdaq is up around 30%.
U.S. stock index futures were lower Monday amid lingering U.S.-China trade worries while protests in Hong Kong escalate.
7:30 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 118
points, indicating a loss of 136 points at the open. S&P 500 and
Nasdaq 100 were also lower.
decline would knock the major averages from record levels reached last
week. The Dow notched its eighth record close of the year on Friday
while the S&P 500 closed at an all-time high for the 19th time. The
Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted a record close for the 14th time in 2019.
President Donald Trump said Friday he had not agreed to roll back tariffs on China. Those comments came after the Chinese commerce ministry said that both sides had agreed to cancel existing tariffs in phases. A U.S. official also reportedly said both sides agreed to roll back the tariffs in tranches.
stock market’s recent move to record highs comes in part because of
improving sentiment around U.S.-China trade talks. With his comments on
Friday, Trump dampened trade expectations in the market.
U.S. stock index futures turned sharply
higher Thursday after China said the world’s two largest economies had
agreed to remove existing trade tariffs.
Around 8:30 a.m. ET, Dow
Jones Industrial Average futures were up 154 points, implying an
opening gain of 138 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also
pointed to solid gains.
The gains put the Dow and S&P 500 on track to reach fresh record highs at the open.
Feng, a ministry spokesperson for China’s Commerce Ministry, said that
both sides had agreed to simultaneously cancel some existing tariffs on
one another’s goods, according to the country’s state broadcaster. The
ministry spokesperson said that both sides were closer to a so-called
“phase one” trade agreement following constructive negotiations over the
past two weeks.
One important condition for a limited trade
agreement, Feng insisted, was that the U.S. and China must remove the
same amount of charges at the same time.
On the data front, the latest weekly jobless claims numbers came in at 211,000, down slightly from 218,000 in the previous week.
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– Stocks were set to open higher on Tuesday, following a
record close in the previous session, as investors grew more bullish on a
potential U.S.-China trade deal as both sides consider more rollbacks
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 70
points and indicated a positive open of more than 58 points, while
futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were also higher. Major
averages are on track for a third straight positive session.
is pushing President Donald Trump to remove more tariffs on about $125
billion worth of Chinese goods imposed in September as part of the
“phase one” trade deal, Reuters reported Monday evening. A U.S. official
told Reuters the fate of the Dec. 15 tariffs is being considered as
part of negotiations.
Strong earnings, more promising economic
data and optimism over a resolution on trade with China drove the Dow to
all-time highs on Monday, following the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s new
records last week.
The Dow’s year-to-date gain now stands at
around 18%, while the S&P 500 is up more than 22% and the Nasdaq
more than 27% so far this year.
Traders will also have eyes on a raft of economic data Tuesday morning. September balance of trade, import and export figures are due for release at 9:30 a.m. ET before November Redbook data at 9:55 a.m. ET.
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FRIDAY – Stocks traded lower on Friday amid weak overseas data, but remained on track to post solid weekly gains after the release of better-than-expected earnings.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 97 points lower, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 pulled back 0.3% while the Nasdaq Composite declined by 0.5%.
More than 70 S&P 500 companies have reported calendar third-quarter earnings this week. Of those companies, 81% have posted better-than-expected results, FactSet data shows.
Weak data from China weighed down the market on Friday.
Still, concerns over the state of the global economy lingered. Overnight, China posted its weakest growth in nearly three decades, as the U.S.-China trade war hit demand at home and abroad. The world’s second-largest economy grew 6% in the third quarter, less than expected, and its weakest pace of expansion in over 27 years.
Sentiment around U.S.-China trade talks improved slightly this week, however. Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday there is “a lot of momentum” to get a deal done.
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THURSDAY – U.S. stock index futures rose Thursday after a draft Brexit deal was struck between the European Union and the U.K.
Around 7:40 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 82 points, indicating a gain of about 70 points at the open. Prior to the Brexit reports, futures had been trading flat to lower. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were also higher.
U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson said “we have a great new Brexit deal” via Twitter. He called on British lawmakers to back the deal when it’s put before Parliament on Saturday. Meanwhile, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker tweeted that the deal was a “fair and balanced” one.
Nonetheless, markets rallied on the Brexit reports, as the deal removed some investor uncertainty amid heightened concerns about the health of the global economy. On Wednesday, unexpectedly weak U.S. retail sales data fueled fears about a possible recession.
Global economic data points to slower growth, while the U.S. manufacturing sector is already contracting. Among the greatest of the worries plaguing markets is the ongoing U.S.-China trade war.
The latest weekly jobless claims figures, housing starts and building permits for September, and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s manufacturing index for October will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. Industrial production data for September will follow slightly later in the session.
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U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the final quarter of 2019.
Wall Street ended higher on Monday on the back of renewed optimism in U.S.-China trade talks. A spokeswoman for the U.S. Treasury said the White House “is not contemplating blocking Chinese companies from listing shares on U.S. stock exchanges at this time.” This relieved some earlier fears raised by reports last week that the U.S. has been looking at restricting U.S. investments in China.
Trade delegations from China and the U.S. are set to resume trade talks next week.
Furthermore, traders are looking to hear from the World Trade Organization. The institution is set to decide on an aircraft subsidies dispute that could allow the U.S. to impose tariffs on Europe.
On the data front, manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index numbers will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET; construction spending figures will be out at 10 a.m. ET, as well as the Dallas Federal Reserve service-sector numbers.
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U.S. stock index futures were higher on Monday, the last day of September, as investors watched trade developments between the U.S. and China.
Around 7:15 a.m. ET, Dow
Jones Industrial Average futures indicated a gain of 54.75 points at
the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also traded higher.
Wall Street ended lower last week on reports that the White House is considering limiting U.S. investment into China, including a possible de-listing of Chinese companies from U.S. exchanges, in a further escalation of the ongoing trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies. However, spokespeople had denied that the U.S. was considering such a move.
U.S. and China trade delegations are due to meet on
Oct. 10 as both sides try to move closer to a deal. Both countries have
slapped tariffs on billion of dollars worth of their goods, dampening
expectations for economic and corporate profit growth.
indexes were headed for a mixed monthly performance. The Nasdaq
Composite was down slightly for September entering Monday’s session
while the S&P 500 and Dow were up more than 1%.
On the data front, Chicago PMI figures for September are due at 8:45 a.m. ET and Dallas Fed manufacturing index data will be published at 9:30 a.m. ET.
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Stocks were set to edge lower on Wednesday, even after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she will launch a formal impeachment inquiry on President Donald Trump.
As of 7:09 a.m. ET
Wednesday, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures implied a loss of more
than 10 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also
indicated slight opening losses.
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 and
Nasdaq Composite posted their biggest one-day declines in a month in
anticipation of the impeachment inquiry. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average also dropped 142 points, or 0.5%.
Stocks have surged
since Trump was elected as the administration has implemented policies
such as tax cuts and decreased regulation. The Dow has surged more than
46% since Trump’s election. Stocks have previously struggled when a
president faces the possibility of impeachment.
The S&P 500
was down about 20% at one point from its high in 1998 as independent
counsel Kenneth Starr ramped up his investigation of President Bill
Clinton for perjury and obstruction of justice, according to CFRA. The
market bottomed as the House began impeachment proceedings and later
recovered all losses to reach a then-record high.