– Stocks slipped on Wednesday as investors digested mixed
news around U.S.-China trade talks along with testimony from the
highest-ranking Federal Reserve official.
The Dow Jones
Industrial Average traded lower a fraction of a percent. The S&P 500
dipped 0.3% while the Nasdaq Composite also slid 0.3%.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq both notched intraday records in the previous
session. The Dow came within a hair of its all-time high on Tuesday.
U.S. and China are reportedly at loggerheads over tariffs as they seek
to conclude phase one of their trade deal. The Wall Street Journal
reported Tuesday night, citing people familiar with the talks, that the
impasse is on whether the U.S. should remove existing tariffs or would
only cancel duties that are set to take effect on Dec. 15.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will address the Congressional Joint
Economic Committee later in the day. In prepared remarks, he said the
path of Fed interest rates is unlikely to change as long as the economy
On the data front, the U.S. consumer price index rose more than expected in October. The index increased by 0.4% last month, the Labor Department said. Economists polled by Reuters expected a gain of 0.3%.
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U.S. stock index futures were lower Monday amid lingering U.S.-China trade worries while protests in Hong Kong escalate.
7:30 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 118
points, indicating a loss of 136 points at the open. S&P 500 and
Nasdaq 100 were also lower.
decline would knock the major averages from record levels reached last
week. The Dow notched its eighth record close of the year on Friday
while the S&P 500 closed at an all-time high for the 19th time. The
Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted a record close for the 14th time in 2019.
President Donald Trump said Friday he had not agreed to roll back tariffs on China. Those comments came after the Chinese commerce ministry said that both sides had agreed to cancel existing tariffs in phases. A U.S. official also reportedly said both sides agreed to roll back the tariffs in tranches.
stock market’s recent move to record highs comes in part because of
improving sentiment around U.S.-China trade talks. With his comments on
Friday, Trump dampened trade expectations in the market.
FRIDAY – Stocks hovered around the flatline on Friday but remained on track for solid weekly gains after trade optimism sparked a massive rotation out of bonds and lifted equities to record levels.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 38 points lower, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 slid 0.1% while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.3%.
Disney was among the best-performing stocks on Wall Street after the company released its latest quarterly figures. Health care was the best-performing sector in the S&P 500, gaining 0.4%.
The major averages were poised to extend their weekly winning streaks despite Friday’s muted performance amid an improving tone around global trade
The Dow is up 1.1% week to date. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are up 0.6% and 0.8%, respectively, for the week. It would be the third straight week of gains for the Dow while the S&P 500 headed for its fifth straight weekly gain. The Nasdaq was on pace for a six-week winning streak.
Sentiment was also boosted this week by corporate earnings results that have generally beaten expectations. Of the 425 S&P 500 companies that have reported thus far, 74% have beaten estimates.
FRIDAY – U.S. stock futures pointed to a little changed open on Friday following a record-setting session for the major stock indexes.
Around 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were unchanged but pointed to a gain of 33 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures pointed to a flat open.
The small implied gain for the Dow comes after Disney shares jumped more than 5% on great earnings. Disney’s revenues for its media and networks segment topped estimates, while sales for the company’s parks, studio entertainment and direct-to-consumer businesses also beat expectations.
Stocks rose to record highs on Thursday after the world’s two largest economies reportedly agreed to remove existing trade tariffs, sparking a huge rotation into equities and out of bonds. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield jumped more than 15 basis points at one point on Thursday, its biggest upward move since the 2016 election.
The increasingly positive tone around global trade put the major indexes on track for solid weekly gains. Entering Friday’s session, the Dow is up 1.2% week to date. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are both up 0.6% for the week through Thursday’s close. It would be the third straight week of gains for the Dow while the S&P 500 headed for its fifth straight weekly gain. The Nasdaq was on pace for a six-week winning streak.
On the data front, consumer sentiment figures are due out at 10 a.m. ET, as well as wholesale trade numbers.
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U.S. stock index futures turned sharply
higher Thursday after China said the world’s two largest economies had
agreed to remove existing trade tariffs.
Around 8:30 a.m. ET, Dow
Jones Industrial Average futures were up 154 points, implying an
opening gain of 138 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also
pointed to solid gains.
The gains put the Dow and S&P 500 on track to reach fresh record highs at the open.
Feng, a ministry spokesperson for China’s Commerce Ministry, said that
both sides had agreed to simultaneously cancel some existing tariffs on
one another’s goods, according to the country’s state broadcaster. The
ministry spokesperson said that both sides were closer to a so-called
“phase one” trade agreement following constructive negotiations over the
past two weeks.
One important condition for a limited trade
agreement, Feng insisted, was that the U.S. and China must remove the
same amount of charges at the same time.
On the data front, the latest weekly jobless claims numbers came in at 211,000, down slightly from 218,000 in the previous week.
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THURSDAY – U.S. stock index futures rose Thursday after a draft Brexit deal was struck between the European Union and the U.K.
Around 7:40 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 82 points, indicating a gain of about 70 points at the open. Prior to the Brexit reports, futures had been trading flat to lower. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were also higher.
U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson said “we have a great new Brexit deal” via Twitter. He called on British lawmakers to back the deal when it’s put before Parliament on Saturday. Meanwhile, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker tweeted that the deal was a “fair and balanced” one.
Nonetheless, markets rallied on the Brexit reports, as the deal removed some investor uncertainty amid heightened concerns about the health of the global economy. On Wednesday, unexpectedly weak U.S. retail sales data fueled fears about a possible recession.
Global economic data points to slower growth, while the U.S. manufacturing sector is already contracting. Among the greatest of the worries plaguing markets is the ongoing U.S.-China trade war.
The latest weekly jobless claims figures, housing starts and building permits for September, and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s manufacturing index for October will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. Industrial production data for September will follow slightly later in the session.
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MONDAY – U.S. stocks were lower Monday, with the market perhaps worried about what is likely to be a tougher earnings season.
At around 8:35 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures indicated a negative open of more than 100 points. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were both marginally lower.
Market focus is largely attuned to corporate results, with major U.S. banks set to get the ball rolling later in the week.
Analysts have warned that the upcoming earnings season could be the first quarter of contracting corporate results since 2016.
J.P. Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo are both set to report their latest figures on Friday.
Before that, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting are due to be released on Wednesday.
Following the Fed’s most recent meeting in March, the central bank decided to maintain interest rates and hold off on any further increases this year.
On the data front, factory orders for February will be published at around 10 a.m. ET.
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SUNDAY – Stocks posted their second weekly rise on Friday as stocks were boosted by better-than-expected jobs data and progress on the U.S.-China trade front.
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both rose about 2% this week, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.7%. On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed up by 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively.
Materials and financials were the best-performing sectors this week, rising 4.3% and 3.3%, respectively. Bank shares led the gains in financials. Morgan Stanley rose more than 6% this week, while Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup all ended the week up more than 5%.
The U.S. economy added 196,000 jobs in March, according to data released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected 175,000. The U.S. unemployment rate, meanwhile, remained at 3.8%. However, wage growth expanded 3.2% just below an expected gain of 3.4%.
Wall Street was looking forward to this report after the previous jobs data showed growth of just 20,000. That number was revised higher to 33,000 on Friday.
Friday’s strong jobs report comes after the release of disappointing economic data earlier in the week. Activity in the U.S. services sector fell to its lowest level since August 2017 while payrolls data released on Wednesday was also below expectations.
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THURSDAY – U.S. stock index futures fell on Thursday morning as investors digested the Federal Reserve’s latest announcement on monetary policy as well as a sharp drop in Biogen shares.
At 7:48 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures indicated a decline of 136 points at the open. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also fell.
The Dow closed lower on Wednesday after the Fed announced a more dovish policy. Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chair, said the central bank is forecasting no rate hikes in 2019, which is down from two hikes forecast earlier. U.S. Treasury yields fell on the news, which added pressure on certain stocks, including banks.
Rising rates are good for banks since they are able to lend out money to investors at a profitable rate of interest. Lower interest rates restrict the bank’s ability to make profits thus adding pressure on margins.
The central bank also lowered its growth outlook for the year and indicated it would end its balance-sheet reduction process by the end of September.
U.S.-China trade is also in focus for investors after mixed comments from the White House. President Donald Trump said Wednesday that Washington’s tariffs on Beijing could stay on for a “substantial period of time.”
THURSDAY – Stocks fell on Thursday after the European Central Bank slashed its economic growth forecast for 2019 and announced a new round of stimulus to help banks in the region, stoking worries over the global economy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 246 points lower as shares of 3M and United Technologies lagged. The S&P 500 fell 0.7 percent, led by declines in the industrials and materials sectors. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.8 percent. The indexes were headed for their fourth consecutive loss.
Both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also broke below their 200-day moving averages, levels that are closely watched by traders.
ECB President Mario Draghi said the central bank cut its growth estimate to 1.1 percent, down from a 1.7 percent expansion forecast released in December.
Thursday’s moves come after the major indexes posted their third straight day of losses, with investors eager to know details from trade negotiations between the U.S. and China.
Stocks are still up sharply for the year despite Thursday’s losses. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have both risen more than 10 percent while the Dow is up more than 9 percent.